The post Ballot initiatives: Downside of uptick in voter turnout appeared first on Occasional Planet.
]]>If you are frustrated with gridlock and/or intransigence in your state legislature, as many voters are, one way to get your issue considered is to gather signatures and take your proposal directly to voters with a ballot initiative. But that grassroots process—which has proliferated in recent years, as you may have noticed by measuring the length of your November 2018 ballot—is becoming much more difficult in many states.
Currently, 24 states—mostly in the Western half of the country—enable citizens to bypass the legislature with ballot initiatives. Here’s a list of who allows what.
Requirements vary. In general, if you want the next statewide ballot to include, for example, an anti-gerrymandering proposal, or an increase in the tax on gasoline, or an amendment to your state’s constitution, you must get a minimum number of registered voters to sign petitions.
In most states where this direct-democracy process is available, the number of signatures required to qualify for inclusion on the ballot is pegged to the number of voters who voted in the most recent governor’s race.
And that’s the problem. Voter turnout is the key. Low turnout in a governor’s election makes it easier to get petition signatures in later elections. While high turnout—ironically, something that we normally view as a fundamental [small-d] democratic value—works against grassroots signature-gathering efforts.
California offers an instructive example. To get an issue on the ballot in California, you must gather signatures equal to or greater than 8 percent of the number of ballots cast in the preceding gubernatorial election. In the 2014 election, only 30 percent of voters cast ballots. That meant that, in the next two election cycles (when there was no governor’s race scheduled), supporters of any ballot measure needed just 365,880 valid signatures. “The bar was so low,” reports The Hill, “that California’s ballots were inundated by initiatives: 15 citizen-sponsored ballot measures in 2016 and 8 more in 2018.”
But voters came out in much higher numbers in the 2018 election. “The result is that in 2020 and 2022, using the same 8 percent threshold, initiative supporters will need to collect more than 623,000 valid signatures, a 70 percent increase,” according to the Hill’s reporting.
A similar scenario is playing out in other initiative-petition states. Here are some examples:
ARIZONA
COLORADO
OKLAHOMA
Getting signatures on statewide initiatives is not free. And the need for more signatures means a need for more money. According to Ballotpedia, the average cost to get one signature varies from state to state, but signature-gathering consulting firms [yes, they exist—it’s not all high-minded volunteers] charge about $6 per valid signature. So, for example, if you want to get signatures in Colorado in 2020, you’re going to need around an additional $156,000. [Most petition gatherers try to get approximately 75 percent more signatures than the requirement, in order to account for signatures that will inevitably be ruled invalid.]
Some state legislators are ticked off about the uptick in ballot initiatives, and they’re working on placing more obstacles in the way. “What we’re seeing is death by a thousand paper cuts, says Lauren Simpson, of Americans for a Better Utah, “making it incrementally more difficult for citizens to pass laws on their own through ballot initiatives Our legislature, as a whole, is uncomfortable with citizen ballot initiatives.”
But, while legislative ploys may be devious and undemocratic, and while increased voter turnout has had the unintended consequence of raising the bar for citizen initiatives, at least this trend is happening in states where citizens have the option to get needed changes by grassroots efforts. In 26 other states, there’s no option at all for ballot measures, and no sign that politicians are eager to create one. That’s the biggest hurdle of all.
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]]>The post Time to reconsider daylight saving time? appeared first on Occasional Planet.
]]>After “falling back” an hour over the past weekend, we’re all blearily adjusting to the time shift imposed on us by the end of daylight saving time. The pros and cons of artificially manipulating time twice a year get lots of attention every time we go through this ritual—especially in the spring, when “springing forward” results in very dark morning wakeup times for schoolchildren. By the way, while we have standardized the practice, we still don’t know if it’s “daylight savings time, with an s at the end, or just daylight saving time, sans s. Also, my inner grammarian wants to pick this nit: Shouldn’t this compound adjective be hyphenated to read “daylight-saving[s] time?” But I digress.
Of course, it wouldn’t be completely accurate to say that we’ve standardized daylight-saving[s] time. There’s still a pastiche of states and counties that operate by their own rules. And a few years ago, Congress itself time warped the time warp, declaring that daylight-saving[s] time should end a week later in November–thereby making Trick or Treating a less spooky experience for the kiddies–or some such rationale.
This weekend, after adjusting all of the timepieces in my house and car, I happened on a quote about daylight-saving[s] time. [Full disclosure: I had to piece the quote together letter by letter, because it was the solution to the New York Times Sunday acrostic puzzle.] It yields an interesting context for the history of our time-honored, time tripping tradition:
Lobbying for daylight saving time started about one hundred years ago, just eighty years after time was standardized. Before trains traversed the continent, it didn’t matter that time was different in different towns. -Seth Godin, Small is the New Big
It matters now. And this year, using the bully [or sometimes bullshit] pulpit of the White House’s on-line petition site, someone has proposed a novel idea: “Permanently retire daylight savings time and change from four time zones in the continental United States to two.”
Here’s the wording of the petition, which spells out the idea, the rationale, and the methodology. What do you think?
We petition the Obama Administration to: Permanently retire daylight savings time and change from four time zones in the continental United States to two.
Daylight savings time became popular in the 1970s with the intent of conserving energy however the actual energy savings are minimal, if they exist at all. Frequent and uncoordinated time changes cause confusion, undermining economic efficiency. There’s evidence that regularly changing sleep cycles, associated with daylight saving, lowers productivity and increases heart attacks. Being out of sync with European time changes was projected to cost the airline industry $147 million annually.
End Daylight Saving, but also take it one step further – Americans on Eastern Time should set their clocks back one hour (like normal), Americans on Central and Rocky Mountain time do nothing, and Americans on Pacific time should set their clocks forward one hour. This will result in just two time zones.
Created: Nov 01, 2013 Issues: Economy, Technology and Telecommunications, Urban Policy
Signatures needed by December 01, 2013 to reach goal of 100,000 99,801
So far, 359 people have signed the petition.
Hat tip to Michael Bersin at ShowMeProgress
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