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{"id":23296,"date":"2013-03-20T20:18:47","date_gmt":"2013-03-21T01:18:47","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.occasionalplanet.org\/?p=23296"},"modified":"2013-03-20T20:18:47","modified_gmt":"2013-03-21T01:18:47","slug":"bracketology-and-public-policy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/occasionalplanet.org\/2013\/03\/20\/bracketology-and-public-policy\/","title":{"rendered":"Bracketology and Public Policy"},"content":{"rendered":"
Don’t expect to learn a lot about how President Obama governs the country from how he fills out his NCAA men’s basketball tournament selections.\u00a0 The methodology that the President, and millions of Americans must use to fill out their brackets for college basketball\u2019s \u201cMarch Madness\u201d is fundamentally flawed. It uses poor research and unreliable data, and while this may be acceptable for the office pool, it\u2019s far too crappy to use in making public policy.<\/p>\n
Even if Barack Obama had the work ethic of George W. Bush, he still wouldn\u2019t have time to provide due diligence to analyzing the 68 teams that are squeezed into a 64-team bracket. Each team has fourteen players, so the entire field of teams has 952 players. Compare that to the golden days of professional baseball when there were only eight teams in a league with a total of 200 players. Not only was that number small, but most of the players returned year after year. Thus you might only have to learn twenty-five or fifty new ones each spring. Then you would live with them day after day, getting to know perhaps more than you want to know about them.<\/p>\n
With the NCAA tournament, you may be lucky if you know twenty-five or thirty players in total. And you don\u2019t even know who they will be until four days prior to the tournament. Unless you\u2019re a college basketball fanatic or a robot programmed to have roundball fanaticism, you\u2019re plain out of luck.<\/p>\n