This week Stacey Abrams announced that she would not be a candidate for US Senate in Georgia in 2020 perhaps gearing up for a run for the White House instead. She is not the only top-tier senate recruit who has opted not to run. In Texas both Beto O\u2019Rourke and Julian Castro are running for President instead of against Sen. John Cornyn. In Colorado former Gov. John Hickenlooper, who has proven his staying power in his state by being elected and re-elected in Republican wave years, has launched a quixotic quest for the presidency instead of challenging Sen. Cory Gardner. It also appears that in Montana, Gov. Steve Bullock will decide to seek the Presidency instead of challenging Sen. Steve Daines who is potentially vulnerable. It was always going to be difficult to retake the Senate in 2020, but Democrats have made the path increasingly more narrow which has widespread consequences regardless of how the Presidential election pans out.<\/p>\n
Democrats need to pick up three seats in order to retake the Senate which in theory sounds simple enough until you look at a map of the contested races. Democrats have an Alabama sized problem in their plan to retake the majority, and it\u2019s very unlikely that Sen. Doug Jones is going to be able to outperform the partisan identity of his\u00a0 state considering President Trump will also be on the ballot and Roy Moore (probably<\/a>) won\u2019t. So Democrats will probably need four seats, which again is a heavy order.<\/p>\n The path of least resistance for Democrats runs through Colorado, Arizona, Maine, and it\u2019s difficult to imagine another pick-up opportunity:<\/p>\n